Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 11.900928 13.357512 15.023935 17.095182 19.634791 22.694197 26.734130
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 9.789668 11.478053 13.549977 16.343523 20.118900 25.220103 32.982658
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 8.747303 10.561266 12.897190 16.236578 21.095889 28.302173 40.732329
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 7.955327 9.814801 12.297252 16.010612 21.746176 30.953338 48.772505
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 7.399724 9.298061 11.912114 15.981909 22.620391 34.118654 59.179457
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 7.010569 8.957501 11.716230 16.176988 23.852009 38.223489 73.955735
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.522928 8.428289 11.180851 15.749527 23.913808 40.109482 84.829635
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 6.202490 8.109950 10.923104 15.726970 24.681728 43.671930 103.415200
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 5.803458 7.645023 10.396755 15.182292 24.353403 44.703947 115.100647
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.399886 7.147796 9.781877 14.417980 23.467908 44.178567 120.856092
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.070064 6.743258 9.286057 13.815300 22.822570 44.100052 128.838235
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.194315 7.034590 9.922916 15.313009 26.862290 58.048548 234.216301
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.119297 7.023125 10.081590 15.989726 29.398671 69.860409 397.823696
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.815136 6.630611 9.567005 15.297534 28.531644 69.892967 452.853607
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.635819 6.427873 9.363034 15.201444 29.137064 75.789065 656.835505
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.454878 6.212034 9.119993 14.996940 29.422969 80.736211 956.511554
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.315518 6.056326 8.971323 14.970959 30.188492 88.466629 1707.720983
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.215794 5.960162 8.921217 15.147506 31.572461 100.615574 4930.796102
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.045321 5.737487 8.627048 14.760507 31.227567 103.522862 10175.096373
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.935681 5.612082 8.503545 14.740071 31.999124 113.896700 278156.815645
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.771425 5.387276 8.183422 14.246140 31.194075 113.788957 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.590052 5.127462 7.787159 13.551545 29.652190 107.945009 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 3.436192 4.910168 7.462514 13.002578 28.521596 104.572912 NaN